At the moment of the new cotton market, Xinjiang's spot market has sufficient resources, while downstream textile companies have limited ability to accept new cotton, and the import of cotton yarn orders has increased significantly, which has a negative impact on the market.
At present, the freight rate of Xinjiang cotton is expensive, and the problem of tight transportation capacity is more prominent. In October, only 87,400 tons of Xinjiang cotton were transported by road, which was significantly lower than 288,000 tons in the same period of last year. In the short term, the purchase of mainland textile enterprises and the production of warehouse receipts will be certain. Impact, but after entering November, the daily steam transportation volume has increased, and it is expected that the transportation problem will be gradually solved in the later period.
However, due to transportation problems in the short term, Xinjiang's cotton volume is not large, and textile enterprises are facing the need for replenishment. The ginning factory has a price hike, so the transaction price will not be too low. When the futures price price rises, the ginning factory will have a profit when it makes a warehouse receipt, and there will be a large number of short-selling orders. Therefore, in the short term, Zheng cotton is still dominated by range volatility and short-term rolling operation.
It is understood that the current purchase of endothelium cotton is still dominated by foreign merchants, cotton operators and cotton-wax customers. There are still very few procurement personnel in the mainland cotton textile mills. Most of them purchase cotton by the traders on behalf of the "double 28, double 29" hand picking cotton. , to the factory to pay, the trader to advance the payment and contact the motor transport to Xinjiang.
The ginning factory in Xinjiang responded that due to the high enthusiasm of the cotton contract enterprises with the main contract of RMB 15,300/ton or more, the “point price†was large, and the transportation price and transportation mode of the highway and railway changed greatly. The benchmark price of the trader "3128" has been continuously lowered, and the basis of the main contract CF1701 has been adjusted.
A Henan cotton wool manufacturer said that it has sent more than 20 car cotton to customers in Guangdong, Hunan, Hubei and other places (good color, less impurities, large horse value, no requirement for length and strength), Bachu, Aksu, etc. The warehouse price of the warehouse is 15300-15500 yuan / ton (gross weight).
According to the survey, some institutions and the ginning factory in Xinjiang believe that due to the low quality of the real estate cotton, the slow listing and the arrival of the US cotton in the first half of December in 2016/17, it is likely to cause a short supply vacuum in the high quality cotton in the Mainland. Cotton prices are expected to continue to rise, but the enthusiasm for moving to the mainland is not high.
With the Urumqi Railway, the transportation fee has been adjusted from “down 30% to 7%â€, and the empty box cars and containers in Xinjiang are very tight. The focus of cotton and cotton spinning enterprises has shifted to road transportation, and the freight rate has risen sharply again. Aksu to Nanyang, 720-730 yuan / ton in the same period last year, rose to 830-840 yuan / ton in September and October this year, and now raised 50-70 yuan / ton.
The cost of loading, unloading, warehousing, insurance, and supervision of warehouses in the Mainland is significantly higher than that in the Xinjiang Supervisory Library (the “dry cost of the Aksu site warehouse†is 88 yuan/ton in one month, while the mainland library is generally above 120 yuan/ton), plus transportation. The fee is a small expense for cotton enterprises (it takes a year to go from declaration to issuance). Therefore, if the contract is not signed or the intention of supply and marketing is clear, the ginning factory in Xinjiang is still cautious, especially in the local cotton picking manufacturers in northern Xinjiang.
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