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On December 17, the second Shanghai Station Sharing Session of the TB 10th Anniversary Tour Sharing Conference was successfully concluded. The meeting was hosted by the Blazers, Shenyin Wanguo Futures and Qihe. As the first offline activity of [China's Good Hand] and [Fortune Trader], the program invited the host to participate in the subjective sharing. The following is the text of Qihe.
Wonderful views:
Our philosophy must first be correct. All the technologies in the transaction must be coordinated with ideas and strategies. Technology cannot exist independently from ideas and strategies.
The first kind of way is to "make money in the wrong way," which is inherently narrow. The misunderstanding of this sentence is to face a serious and uncertain market use law.
Making money means making money, regardless of right and wrong, keeping the wrong pattern of making money firmly and summing it up. It is a new and correct way of making money.
It is a very useful method in the shock market, which is absolutely forbidden by the famous rivers and lakes.
The second way is that the essence of trading is to constantly test and capture a big market with small losses.
False breakthrough is not a small probability. The similarity between the trading market and the battlefield is the highest. On the same k-line chart in the transaction, all parties in the capital can see the resistance level, pressure level, deviation, wave, price, quantity, line, type. , bit. Where is the best location for setting up? When is the first shot? There are too many calculations in the middle. Everyone who needs to participate in the battle needs to face the map like Lin Biao before the battle starts.
False breakthrough is one of the combat methods after the main funds have been thinking through the night. The fake breakthrough, the advantage of the dealer is enlarged to 100%.
The market is 30% trend market, 70% is the shock market. Use 70% of the time and number of times to test whether your humanity is strong. This argument is quite harmful.
Trading can't be counter-human, but to make the trading system as human as possible. We all say that trading is human, but this sentence cannot be understood as the anti-humanity of our system.
We don't have to be too fanatical about the commercial trading system. The system is built on its own.
The third way to go is that the accuracy of the buying and selling point is not so important. The important thing is money management and risk control and emotional management.
“The accuracy of the buying and selling point is not so important.†These words were written by the trainer.
Inaccurate buying and selling points can lead to suspicion, fear, hope, greed and other emotions. Under these emotional disturbances, a mature disc player will become unstructured and systematically will not execute the results, resulting in huge amounts. Loss.
A transaction without a good trading point can't talk about position management, emotional control, and execution monitoring.
I think that the core of the trading system is the trading point, and the core of the trading point is the selling point.
The four major components of the trading system are actually very important, but the importance of deliberately ignoring the buying and selling points has appeared in many famous martial arts cheats.
The leverage effect of the futures market is more demanding than the stock market. Even if you look at the trend, you will be in a deep callback. Therefore, the trading point is very important in futures investment. good result?
Putting aside technology to manage, talking about mentality is an irresponsible argument.
The fourth way we often go is the misunderstanding of trend traders: the trend is clear and then the order is made to trade, which is a good word for the risk averse.
Our correct approach is to trend the market shocks, we are all wrong in the trend of market trends.
Article 5 The mistake we often make is to stare at the current price difference to do short-term trading, which is a disorder of positioning.
Article 6 The road we often encounter is the unpredictable theory of the market. This is the obliteration and disregard of the regularity of the market.
The market is measurable and unmeasurable, orderly and chaotic, chaotic and fractal. How to distinguish this state is what professionals need to face every day.
Hello everyone, I am very happy to be able to share the topic of the transaction with you here. The organizer called me an old trader. I very much agree with this title, not only the age, but also the long-term entanglement in this market. This will be the case later, but I still feel like a young man standing here today. I have only been a practitioner for many years. I am not a celebrity or a big lover. There is no aura in my head. The most worthwhile thing is that the longest batch of our customers has been in operation for 11 years in December 2016.
Relative to the market, I am self-proclaimed by the Guan Hanqing's written copper peas, steamed unripe, boiled not bad, fried does not explode, not flat, is a dead and strong Xiaoqiang! As a veteran of the trading market, I want to write my own trading practices and experiences, which is my long-standing idea.
The process of human cognition is a process of constantly changing from the shallower to the deeper, and the process of transaction learning is also understood. It is usually said that trading is a difficult course to get started. If a good player grows naturally, we can use a sword for ten years to describe it.
Each of our brains has its own operating system and a set of its own output and input modes. Our philosophy must first be correct. All the technologies in the transaction must be coordinated with ideas and strategies. Technology cannot exist independently from ideas and strategies.
Sometimes, some things from the opposite side of the description will make it easier to understand.
For example, let's talk about what can't be done in a transaction?
What are the paradoxes in philosophy?
Those are the easy way for us all to go wrong?
Only when the wrong path is exhausted, the correct trading method will naturally appear and be easy to remember. The Buddha said: "Fantasy is not dead, righteous thoughts are not born!"
Today we are talking about what can't be done in the transaction, what is the paradox of the idea, and what is the easy way for us all to go wrong.
The first kind of way is to "make money in the wrong way," which is inherently narrow. The misunderstanding of this sentence is to face a serious and uncertain market use law.
I think that making money is making money, and losing money means losing money. A friend recently shared with me: "I have a good trading result during this time, and I have probably earned 70%. The problem is that I didn't follow the correct method. It was a violation of my trading strategy. I earned money. I will correct this practice in the future, and I will no longer be opportunistic." I said to him: "To make money is to make money, regardless of the right and wrong, to remember and summarize the wrong mode of making money, it is A new correct money making model. "
Technology can't be separated from ideas and strategies. The hotspots and trades in the market are constantly symbiotic and symbiotic. Therefore, our style of play is also self-feedback, self-organization, self-evolution, and escalation. Everyone knows that the same technology will be hunted when used by the public. Every year, some people say that this year's market is too difficult to do. There is no right or wrong thing, but the level is different. For example , the "Ma Bing Ma Ma Fa", which is absolutely forbidden by the famous rivers and lakes, is a very useful method in the turbulent market. It is said that it has screwed up the Bank of Bahrain, and that the bank of Bahrain should be the humanity of the trader. It is used by people who use it in the wrong place. The method is wrong and the method itself is not right or wrong.
The second way is "the essence of trading is to constantly test and capture a big market with small losses."
Ten small losses in exchange for a big market, sounds quite good, countless small stops, in exchange for a wave of big market worth looking forward to. As described in the Turtle Trading Law: 13 false breaks capture a big market. This idea was established after I saw the Turtle Trading Law. I have tried countless times, after a few years of thinking and struggling, I have experienced a night of sleep at the West Lake, and finally I want to ask you the following.
problem:
Have you gone to practice this sentence?
Has your humanity been tested?
Do you blame yourself for resisting humanity?
Have you asked yourself why you are born to be resistant to humanity?
If you are not human, are you a god? Have you ever imagined?
Is it what you want?
Does the family still know you?
The truth is: in the process people have been tortured exhausted!
False breakthrough is not a small probability. The similarity between the trading market and the battlefield is the highest. On the same k-line chart in the transaction, all parties in the capital can see the resistance level, pressure level, deviation, wave, price, quantity, line, type. , bit. Where is the best location for setting up? When is the first shot? There are too many calculations in the middle. Everyone who needs to participate in the battle needs to face the map like Lin Biao before the battle starts.
False breakthrough is one of the combat methods after the main funds have been thinking through the night. The fake breakthrough, the advantage of the dealer is enlarged to 100%. And our mood is completely chaotic, the heart is not taken care of, only 10% of players can overcome.
For example, the above picture, the market 30% trend market, 70% is the shock market. Use 70% of the time and number of times to test whether your humanity is strong. This argument is quite harmful.
If I set the parameter to Brin online track buy mid-sell. After ten losses, what do we want to believe in the system? Is it to wait for that big market? I can buy and sell 13 times at random and I can get a big one. Even if the programmatic operation is estimated, the system should be suspected and manually intervened. The big rise after the eleventh signal may not be related to you. The requirements for human nature here are too high, and the average person can hardly do it. We have all bought a lot of big bull stocks, they broke up with it before it surged, and did not dare to buy it later. Are you sitting?
There is also a lot of probability of not having to buy it casually, so this concept has no advantage over casual trading. There is a huge deviation between perfect theory and reality! In my practice, I realized that the transaction can not be counter-human, but to make the trading system as human as possible. We all say that trading is human, but this sentence cannot be understood as the anti-humanity of our system.
Futures trading is human nature, so we must fully consider adapting to human nature when designing the system. Only by taking care of our own heart, and not letting it often fluctuate, futures are likely to do well. If the system captures the big market with constant small stop loss, then as a novice will doubt the self and doubt the system. Therefore, this sentence can not withstand the scrutiny, can only be used as a textbook, it looks very beautiful, so we do not have too fanatical about the commercial trading system, the system is built on its own.
The third way to go is that “the accuracy of buying and selling points is not so important. The important thing is money management and risk control and emotional managementâ€.
It's like saying that driving technology is not much good or bad. It is important to buy insurance. We know that buying insurance is not about going to risk. It is a very good thing to read books, but we must see the problem by reading books. There are many books on financial transactions that are very good, and the sentences are in your heart. This sentence is also common to people to listen to, like driving is easy to accident, nothing to worry about insurance; shooting competition aiming technology is not in place, nothing, good attitude will do. “ The accuracy of the buying and selling point is not so important.†These words were written by the trainer.
Inaccurate buying and selling points can lead to suspicion, fear, hope, greed and other emotions. Under these emotional disturbances, a mature disc player will become unstructured and systematically will not execute the results, resulting in huge amounts. Loss. A transaction without a good trading point can't talk about position management, emotional control, and execution monitoring.
The complete trading system needs to cover the following four parts: the buying and selling model (including precise trading points, consistent, effective); position management (ie, like the division of the whole battle); risk control (that is, strict supervision like a soldier) The above rules, the end of the battle need to be adjusted according to the results of the summary), emotional management (that is, take care of the heart).
I think that the core of the trading system is the trading point , and the core of the trading point is the selling point. This is the focus we need to focus on. It is right to buy a bull stock anywhere. It is not uncommon to see the market as a wrong one. It is common to pass the big bull market.
The four major components of the trading system are actually very important, but the importance of deliberately ignoring the buying and selling points has appeared in many famous martial arts cheats. Such a statement is very harmful for this critical issue concerning winning percentage. If a system's winning percentage is very low, around 50%, then it will be very demanding for the trader's last management ability. There is no good trading point technology to protect, what about emotional management? It may be crazy every day, every day is in the suspicion of the system, fund management, risk control will also be chaotic and can not persist, so this sentence is paradox. Good money management and risk control can really reduce the requirements of the buying and selling points, but the newcomers are very upset and the system will be suspicious and cannot be adhered to.
The leverage effect of the futures market is more demanding than the stock market. Even if you look at the trend, you will be in a deep callback. Therefore, the trading point is very important in futures investment. good result? The quality of the entry point is directly related to the size of the stop loss. The entry point is not good, the stop loss is too large, the profit-loss ratio is lower, and the mood is not good. It has an impact on the trading mentality. Selling is a test of our trading efforts. . Putting aside technology to manage, talking about mentality is an irresponsible argument.
The fourth way we often go is the misunderstanding of trend traders: the trend is clear and then the order is made to trade, which is a good word for the risk averse.
The trend is to go a long way to make sure there is a trend, but at this time many people often feel that the intervention is late. Because if it is not such a particularly powerful trend until the big cycle confirms the trend, the small cycle is generally the beginning of the callback. As shown below: (Diwei shares: weekly) I believe that many trend traders have eaten many such losses.
Our correct approach is to trend the market shocks, we are all wrong in the trend of market trends. Oral is a trend trader, does not predict the market, in fact, still made a prediction of the problem.
Article 5 The mistake we often make is to stare at the current price difference to do short-term trading, which is a disorder of positioning.
The current price deviation is very common in the short term, and sometimes it will last for a long time. If you place an order based on this, you must be prepared to do a relatively long-term preparation, prepare for long-distance food and mentality, if you see the period The current price deviation wants to be a short-term, it is very common that the current price has not returned, but your fund account has been returned.
In trading, we rarely know the ability to locate. For example, some people say that I am doing short-term trading, but the most heard in his mouth is based on the fundamental reasoning and judgment. For example, we often listen to some "masters" who do short-term trading in stocks. "The performance of this stock is expected to be very good. There is no reason not to rise."
Another example: Some people who do short-term futures often say: "The current price is far from the price, it will definitely fall!" These words may be correct, but if used as a reason for short-term trading, people who have been trading for many years It can be seen that the positioning of this person's long and short line must be a problem.
As a short-term transaction, the fundamentals account for 20% and the technical level is 80%. If you are based on personal character, asset positioning is super short-term, and the trading decision is linked to the fundamentals, and then the head is the reason for your own purchase, this is a kind of self-deception, should mainly focus on technical analysis and attention News-based. We are often misplaced to make the transaction right and wrong, which is very harmful in the transaction.
Article 6 The road we often encounter is the unpredictable theory of the market. This is the obliteration and disregard of the regularity of the market.
Whether the market is predictable or not has been debated for hundreds of years, saying that the market can predict and admit that the left-hand transaction is considered too low by mainstream technical experts. The market is measurable and unmeasurable, orderly and chaotic, chaotic and fractal. How to distinguish this state is what professionals need to face every day. Admit that things are regular, then predictable, if the light sees chaos can not see the fractal then it is untestable.
Finding non-random parts in highly random price fluctuations and then measuring it is the task of market analysts. Buffett and Soros all said that the market is unmeasurable. They will "hold forever", but who they are holding is very particular about it. It is necessary to examine and dig deep into the data and make decisions. This decision is to predict its long-term improvement. Participants in the market are always looking for as long as they are not mad. These laws require our focused discovery, search, and grasp. We cannot be extreme agnostic.
So how can we grasp it? Forecasting is not equal to precision. Rules and disciplines should be in front of predictions. When opinions are wrong, don't be stubborn and adjust and change in time. Pre-judgment is to know and understand things. With the "knowledge" of prediction, it is possible to have a planned operation. If the prediction is found to be wrong by the market, it can be stopped according to the plan.
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December 23, 2016
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